Most Recent NM Statewide Poll: 11.06.16

8,439 NM LIKELY VOTERS SURVEYED: CLINTON HOLDS ON TO SLIM LEAD HEADING INTO ELECTION DAY

JOHNSON SLIPS AGAIN. LESS THAN 1 PERCENT UNDECIDED.


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NM Statewide Poll: 11.01-02.16

Trump Trails Clinton by Only 3 Points In New Mexico. Making up 2 Points Over The Last Week.

Johnson’s Polling Numbers Continue to Decline.


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NM Statewide Poll: 10.24.16

NM Statewide Poll: Likely Voters
Date: 24-Oct-16
Margin of Error 2.25  | Sample Size = 1899 | Population = 715,894
Sample: Likely voters registered in the state of New Mexico (n=1899) Margin of Error: ± =2.25%
Weighted by age, party, sex, and congressional district; stratified to represent the New Mexico likely voter population.


 

2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Trump Narrows Gap in New Mexico. Trails by Only 5 Points Entering Last Two Weeks.

Trend holds steady as younger voters favor Trump over Clinton.  Johnson’s support continues to decline.


PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES

Thinking about the November presidential election, if you were standing in the voting booth right now and had to make a choice for president for whom would you vote?

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POTUS SUPPORT OVER LAST MONTH

After the third and final debate, the poll shows Donald Trump is closing the gap between himself and Hillary Clinton. Trump now trails by only 5 points in New Mexico, cutting his deficit in half from two weeks ago.

Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson has seen his support decline in his home state from 16 points four weeks ago, to 12 points two weeks ago, and now to 9 points in the final two weeks.

POTUS SPANNING 3 POLLS

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VOTER PARTY BREAKDOWN

Trump is leading Clinton by 3 percent among this group of Independent and other party voters. The poll also shows there are more Democrats supporting Trump, 20 percent, than Republicans supporting Clinton, 13 percent.

POTUS BY PARTY

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Just over 17 percent of likely voters in New Mexico say they associate with a party other than Republican or Democrat.

VOTER PARTY BREAKDOWN

With which political party are you registered?

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VOTER ETHNICITY BREAKDOWN

Clinton leads Trump by 12 percent among Hispanic/Latino voters, but is about even with Caucasian/white and African-Americans voters.

VOTER ETHNICITY

Which of the following best describes your ethnic background?

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VOTER AGE BREAKDOWN

Contrary to some polls, ZiaPoll found Donald Trump leads Hilary Clinton among voters who are between 18 and 34 years old.

Trend holds steady over past 3 polls. Read More.

POTUS BY AGE

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NM NEWS

Maggie Toulouse Oliver Has Substantial Lead over Nora Espanoza in Secretary of State Race.

The October 24 poll shows Maggie Toulouse Oliver leading her opponent Nora Espanoza by 12 percent heading into the final two weeks before election day.

SECRETARY OF STATE

Now, thinking about the election for the Secretary of State  in New Mexico, if you were standing in the voting booth right now and had to make a choice for secretary of state for whom would you vote?

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NM Statewide Poll: 10.11.16

NM Statewide Poll: Likely Voters
Date: 11-Oct-16
Margin of Error 2.5  | Sample Size = 1536 | Population = 715,894
Sample: Likely voters registered in the state of New Mexico (n=1536) Margin of Error: ± =2.5%
Weighted by age, party, sex, and congressional district; stratified to represent the New Mexico likely voter population.


 

2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Clinton Takes a 10 Point Lead in New Mexico Following Debate and Trump Tape Release.

PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES

If you were standing in the voting booth right now and had to make a choice for president, for whom would you vote?

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CLINTON vs. TRUMP

Both major party candidates still dealing with high unfavorables; with 50% of New Mexicans holding an unfavorable or very unfavorable view of Clinton and 59% holding an unfavorable or very unfavorable view of Trump.

CLINTON OPINION

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?

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TRUMP OPINION

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump?

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CURRENT EVENTS

New Mexico voters are very aware of the released Trump tape as well as Clinton’s hacked emails from Wikileaks, with a nearly 95% awareness level across the board. 1 in 2 voters say knowing this information makes them less likely to vote for both candidates, while 1 in 3 say it has no impact.

AWARE OF TAPES

On Friday of last week an 11 year old video tape was released that contained audio of Donald Trump making crude sexual remarks about women. How aware are you of this news story?

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AWARE OF EMAILS

Over the past several days Wikileaks released several thousand more emails from Hillary Clinton’s hacked email server containing sensitive information about the Clinton campaign including closed door meetings with special interest groups and excerpts from private Wall Street speeches. How aware are you of this news story?

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LIKELIHOOD TRUMP

Does knowing this information about Donald Trump’s remarks about women make you more likely or less likely to vote for Donald Trump?

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LIKELIHOOD CLINTON

Does knowing this information about Hillary Clinton’s leaked emails make you more likely or less likely to vote for her?

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Majority of voters say the 2nd Presidential debate had no effect on their choice for Commander and Chief.  9 percent still undecided after debate.

DEBATE EFFECT

Which of the following statements best describes the effect of Sunday’s Presidential debate on the way you will vote?

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NM Statewide Poll: 09.24.16

NM Statewide Poll: Likely Voters
Date: 24-Sep-16
Margin of Error 2.6  | Sample Size = 1415 | Population = 715,894
Sample: Likely voters registered in the state of New Mexico (n=1415) Margin of Error: ± =2.57.%
Weighted by age, party, sex, and congressional district; stratified to represent the New Mexico likely voter population.


 

2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 5 points in New Mexico based on a survey of 1,415 likely voters.

PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES

If you were standing in the voting booth right now and had to make a choice for president, for whom would you vote?

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PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES: LEAN

{For those who are undecided} Which presidential candidate do you lean toward the most?

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VOTER SNAPSHOT

1 in 3 NM voters say creating jobs and the economy is the most important issue this election season, while 1 in 2 say they are more enthusiastic about this election than previous elections.

ISSUES

Which of the following issues is most important to you?

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VOTER ENTHUSIASM

Compared to previous elections, are you more or less enthusiastic about voting?

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LOCAL ISSUES

 2 in 3 NM voters support reinstating the death penalty for murderers of cops and children, while 3 in 4 support life sentences without the possibility of parole for heinous crimes.

On the issue of voter photo ID, 2 in 3 NM voters support requiring identification in order to vote.

DEATH PENALTY

In 2009 the death penalty was abolished in the state of New Mexico. Some politicians are now considering re-instating the death penalty as an option for convicted killers of children, police and corrections officers. Do you support or oppose re-instating the death penalty in New Mexico under these circumstances?

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LIFE SENTENCES

Now, considering sentencing for heinous crimes, do you support giving judges the option of handing down life sentences without the possibility of parole in special cases to those who commit heinous crimes?

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VOTER PHOTO ID

Do you support or oppose requiring all voters to provide photo identification at their voting place in order to vote?

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